The Pinnacle: May 2023
Discover the latest insights from The Pinnacle May 2023 newsletter, providing a comprehensive view of the current market landscape. In May, market movements were influenced by debt ceiling negotiations, central bank decisions, and concerns over stability in the banking sector. The US saw a minimal decline in YoY inflation, raising questions about potential rate hikes. Meanwhile, the UK raised rates, but concerns lingered about lagging inflation. Europe experienced interest rate hikes, while China faces the challenge of low inflation and slowing growth. Emerging markets are carefully navigating their rate-hiking cycles. Keep an eye on how these factors shape the global economy.
The Pinnacle: February 2023
In February, economic data led to higher bond yields and a weaker equity market, with developed market equity down 2.4% for the month due to a hawkish US Federal Reserve outlook. Silicon Valley Bank collapsed after investing large proceeds into long-term treasury bonds at lower interest rates, leading to losses as bond yields rose. Despite risks such as interest rate hikes and geopolitical tensions, positive economic data in developed regions and the re-opening of the Chinese economy offer room for optimism.